If you are reading this, welcome to the SUPER SECRET EXCLUSIVE #betwithg email newsletter. It has probably come to your attention that I have hit some pretty ridiculous underdog parlays lately. Some people asked if I could share those with them, and I thought....why not.
DISCLAIMER - I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL HANDICAPPER (and really not one at all).
If you're looking for that sort of thing, go to SIEGE PICKS - they are quite literally the only handicappers I trust, they know their shit and they make their clients money. Go to @SiegePicks on twitter, DM them and they can tell you about their packages, give them promo code: SLEEPERS and you'll get 10% of all pick packages.
What I am though is a super passionate sports fan and pretty damn above average recreational sports better - I make picks based on a combination of #research, gut feelings and whatever I think will be the most fun to root for. I can't guarantee that you will win by backing any of my picks...but I can guarantee that we will have some fun tailing them together.
Now that you've signed up, you'll get at least one email from me throughout the week that includes:
my favorite college football bets against the spread, parlays and teasers
my weekly UNDERDOG PARLAY on NFL sundays (somehow 66% on this through 3 weeks for $12k+ in winnings)
guest appearance best bets from my Sleepers Media counterpart, Carter Elliott
and EVERY SINGLE NCAAB game I will be betting throughout the season 55% against the spread (145-117) with #DailyPicks last year
Now....onto the picks:
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook:
CFB:
ATS plays I like:
Purdue -2.5 vs. Minnesota
My take: Purdue is sneakily not that bad. 2-0 at home this year, wins against Oregon State and Illinois. They played Notre Dame (who I actually think is legit) tough for 3.5 quarters. On the flip side you have a Minnesota team coming off a 14-10 loss to Bowling Green. They struggled to beat Miami (OH) two weeks ago. PJ Fleck is an idiot. This feels like a players quit on the coach spot, not a rally around the row the boat guy spot.
Notre Dame ML +110 vs. Cincinnati
My take: ND is 4-0 against solid opponents. A blowout win in Madison is enough for me to take them seriously. At home, the whole 2:30 start time on NBC….I’m shocked this game is a pickem. Disrespectful that they’re plus money to win. Desmond Ridder is good…..but they were on the ropes to a bad IU team last week. Trusting my gut here that ND is just better.
This is Really Fucking Stupid if it Loses Parlay of the Week:
Georgia ML vs. Arkansas, MSU ML vs. Western Kentucky, Penn State ML vs. Indiana, Alabama ML vs. Ole Miss
Odds: -115
My take: UGA, MSU and Bama are no-brainers. This is about getting Penn State down to a great number. Indiana is due for a big win at some point but it won’t be at night in Happy Valley.
Gut Feeling Value Parlay of the Week:
Purdue ML, Notre Dame ML, Liberty ML, Rutgers +15
Odds: +1296
My take: Liberty is a good team who just laid an egg to Syracuse...bounce back spot for them paired with a solid Rutgers team playing the game of their lives at home to cover 15 against OSU….+1296 is a funnnn number to sprinkle on these four
NFL UNDERDOG PARLAY SPECIAL:
Seahawks ML, Ravens ML, Falcons ML, Colts ML, Vikings ML
Odds: +4056
Seahawks - +2.5 underdogs against a Niners team that is well-coached but just ehhhh overall. Bounceback spot for Russ - don’t see them going to 1-3.
Ravens - The Broncos are 3-0 against the Jets, Jags and Giants. Ravens are a much better team
Falcons - home dogs against the Washington Football Team? It’s the Washington Football Team! Added out of principle.
Colts - 0-3 with 3 losses to playoff teams. They’re desperate and the Dolphins aren’t good.
Vikings - Home dogs against the Browns….again….it’s the Browns. Feels like a classic Cleveland let down spot.